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Macquarie finishing May 20 report


585 272 Source: ILZSG, MacquafieResearch, 2009 年 511ILZSG data show that China's large supply of high-cost mines closed in the l quarter, except for China's mines the world's supply of low cost to maintain. In fact,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], a quarter of world mine supply, or 196,000 tons of 7.3% decline in mine supply in China accounted for 25.9% decline, or 152,000 tons. On the contrary, the world production of refined zinc, or 247,000 tons of 8.7% decline, in addition to the world outside of China's refined zinc production decline to 1O. 9% or 215,000 tons (down mainly from Belgium, Canada,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Germany, Japan and the Netherlands). The same period,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the output of smelters in China fell 3.6% year on year, means that China's smelting market share is increasing. China's mines supply dropped significantly, while the smelter's production changed little in the first quarter, China imported a large number of ore, imports increased by 61,000 tons year on year to 342,000 ~; Chinese concentrate imports declined to processing fees for a $ 90 8O / ton. 56 A № ta10utputI ・ --- a Concent ~ teoutDud;} I. 0. . '\ / Xiao Xiao Committee cents cents amount of playing Man silkworm silkworm summer heat like Yes Yes cents SourceILZSG. MaCClUaneResearch. May200 ~ i fall in Chinese mine supply of smelter output decline than the demand side,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], consumption of refined zinc in the first quarter fell by l2.5%, of which 24.3% decrease in Europe, Japan 51%, U.S. 6.5%. China's apparent consumption of 6.4% year on year increase support to the market, SRB purchasing and storage of 109,000 tons. In the first quarter, China's net imports refined zinc amounted to 207,000 tons El, over the same period in 2008 only looo, ~. ∞ ∞ ∞ {bow o n plus lack of ships Pu Man eight years jI} J_I L'V ...,, l ■ Pi Pi mg twilight Tridacna gigas Luo-Yue B potato shame often base base Meng Tong summer evening summer guide guide i set the three Summer Hua summer i write tongue drug interaction guide Source: ILZSG/VocauarieResenrcnMoy20O9 China and Western countries consumption of refined zinc H \a major factor in our concern is: China's consumption has not yet returned to the level strong enough. Recent Hongda Group, said the rebound in zinc prices do not represent the true zinc consumption growth, as demand for galvanized sheet remains weak. Platts Report: Hunan Nonferrous Metals Group plans to spend 1.2 billion yuan (1.7-1.8 billion dollars) in 2009, the remaining time, lead and zinc from its purchase under the smelter to support the short-term prices. Zhuzhou Smelter One official said the purchase is expected to Hunan Nonferrous Metals Group activities will support prices in the short term role to play, but in the long term, stable or rising prices will depend on demand growth in China 57 long. short-term zinc price rise can not be sustained, the final, or the world economic recovery,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], or zinc to reduce the supply of needed Zoudie. optimistic view is that China can absorb excess supply; but stock will be suspended in the zinc price of a sword on his head. China mine supply is not to determine the zinc market is another factor, in 2008 China mine supply 3.1 million tons, when the price declines, production of 100 tons can be turned off. the recent rebound in prices, coupled with lead price huisheng, making it 5O ・ 6o tons of mine production capacity to recover, means that China's mine production in 2009 will reach 250 million tons; then in 2009 the market supply of the zinc market surplus will occur the amount of 364,000 tons (including the SRB's purchasing and storage). j g Shu Ying the amount of children to lead the main TH Ken Black ~, ource; II.ZSG.MacquaneResearch.May2009 China's mines the world zinc market supply is the key to the future, as we mentioned before, another factor driving the price of zinc is copper. last of the increase in inventories, and the first half of a large number of imports, and the last of the narrowing spread between LME, copper premium from $ 280 in mid-April, fell sharply to $ 100.120 tons / ton, is expected to purchase will be price SRM effects, LME copper stocks will decline in the next 3 months, copper prices will come down. When prices fall, will provide a zinc and copper buying opportunity, time 12.18 months. (Jin Xiangyun order) if lI ∞ mouth music, such as the West-cI by the drug.
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